COVID-19 study suggests 5 per 1,000 Eugene residents infected

There is a 95% likelihood the number is between one and 14, OSU researchers said.

Posted: Nov 19, 2020 6:14 PM

EUGENE, Ore. – According to researchers, five people per 1,000 Eugene residents could have COVID-19.

Oregon State University and the University of Oregon conducted door-to-door TRACE sampling on Nov. 7 and 8. Thirty TRACE teams visited 30 Eugene neighborhoods and collected samples from 304 households and 463 people.

While there were no positive results, researchers said other data on infections in Eugene and models showed an estimate of five per 1,000. There is a 95% likelihood the number is between one and 14, they said.

“In estimating how many people were infected we used a prevalence model that took into account sampling results as well as other information to understand what is happening in the population at large,” said Ben Dalziel, an assistant professor in OSU’s College of Science and the TRACE project leader.

Researchers added prevalence does not indicate risk of contracting the virus.

OSU has been conducting similar TRACE studies in multiple Oregon cities to determine how widespread COVID-19 is.

Results from the project are reviewed by scientists and OSU and two other universities that are not associated with the project.

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